Program / Papers

August 29 - Emission Trading in meeting the Kyoto Commitments 9:30 - 10:00 - Welcome and introduction Session 1. Abatement costs and emission trading 10:00-10:30 - Abatement costs and emission trading: insight from the IPCC process, J.C. Hourcade, CNRS-CIRED PDF Presentation 10:30 - 11:00 - Emission trading and its impacts on world economies, C. Kemfert, SPEED-Univ. of Oldenburg PDF Paper , Power Point presentation 11:15 - 11:45 - The Role of Kyoto Mechanisms in Reducing Greenhouse Gas Emissions (MARKAL model), Dolf Gielen ECN PDF Paper , Power Point présentation 11:45 - 12:15 - The Reference Case and the Kyoto commitments in Europe (PRIMES model), P. Capros, ICCS-NTUA PDF Paper 12:15 - 13:00 - Synthesis and discussion, P. Zagame*, ERASME   Session 2. Flexibility and trade regulations at the international level 14:30 - 15:00 - Concrete ceilings: expected and unexpected outcomes, H. Jacoby, MIT-JPSPGC PDF Paper Power Point Presentation 15:00 - 15:30 - Economic analysis of the European Concrete Ceilings, J. Jensen, Copenhagen Economics, PDF Paper 15:30 - 16:00 - Kyoto commitments, a proposal for concrete ceilings plus a "safety valve", (POLES model), P. Criqui, CNRS-IEPE PDF Paper, Power Point presentation   Session 3. Emission trading as a Community / domestic policy instrument 16:15 - 16:45 - Encouraging ratification: compliance under the Kyoto Protocol, R. Morgenstern, RFF PDF Paper 16:45 - 17:15 - Preliminary assessment of a European Emission Permit System in industry, P. Capros, ICCS-NTUA PDF Paper 17:15 - 18:00 - Synthesis and discussion (S. 2. & 3.), P. Zapfel, DG Environment   August 30 - Beyond Kyoto, multi gas flexibility, coordinated modelling   Session 4. International burden sharing in a post-Kyoto perspective 09:00 - 9:30 - Options for international burden sharing (FAIR model), M. den Elzen, RIVM PDF Paper 9:30 - 10:00 - Contraction and Convergence of Carbon Emissions : the economic implications, A. Loeschel, ZEW PDF Paper 10:00 - 10:30 - Carbon value trajectories in a preliminary 2030 entitlement scenario (POLES model), N. Kouvaritakis, JRC-IPTS (see associated paper on post-Kyoto CO2 entitlements with the POLES model, in french) 10:45 - 11:15 - Impacts of emission constraints on oil producing countries, B. Mueller, OIES Power Point presentation   Session 5. Multi-gas flexibility 11:15 - 11:45 - Land Use and associated GHG emissions, simulations with IMAGE, L. Bouwman, RIVM Power Point presentation 11:45 - 12:15 - A Multi-Gas assessment of the Kyoto Protocol, H. Jacoby, MIT-JPSPGC PDF Paper, Power Point Presentation 12:15 - 13:00 - Synthesis and discussion (S. 4. & 5.), T. Bernheim, Bureau Fédéral du Plan Power Point Synthesis   Session 6. Building insight and common knowledge from modelling exercises 14:30 - 15:00 - Introduction : ASPEN, a simple software for the analysis and comparison of model results, P. Criqui, CNRS-IEPE A demonstration version of the ASPEN software can be downloaded here 15:00 - 15:30 - Round Table 1.: Understanding the differences in model results (Reference cases, impacts of recent economic developments, key  assumptions…), Moderator P. Capros PDF Synthesis, Power Point Synthesis 15:45 - 16:30 - Round Table 2.: Key issues and opportunities for modelling work in the context of the climate negotiation, Moderator P. Valette 16:30 - 17:00 - Round Table 3.: Towards a co-ordinated use of models for policy support, Moderator M. Vainio PDF Synthesis 17: 00 - 17:30 - Conclusions