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Researchers : P.
Criqui, S. Mima-Avdulaj
, A. Kitous
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Research on energy and climate
policy with the POLES model
• 2004-2005: World Energy Technology Outlook 2050 (WETO-H2,
DG-RTD) with ENERDATA, FPB-Belgium, IPTS (on-going)
• 2003-2004: Emission reduction scenario for France (Factor
4 scenario, Min. of Ind.-F) with ENERDATA
http://www.industrie.gouv.fr/energie/prospect/pdf/oe-facteur-quatre.pdf
• 2002-2004: Endogenous technical change in a world energy
model (SAPIENT + SAPIENTIA, DG-RTD) with NTUA, IIASA, ECN,
KUL …
• 2001-2003: Greenhouse emission Reduction Pathways and
international endowments in the post-Kyoto perspective (GRP,
DG-ENV) with NTUA, RIVM, KUL http://europa.eu.int/comm/environment/climat/pdf/pm_summary2025.pdf
• 2001-2003: Economic analysis of the linking of the
European EQTS with the international market (Kyoto Protocol
Implementation, DG-ENV)
http://europa.eu.int/comm/environment/climat/pdf/kyotoprotocolimplementation.pdf
• 2001-2003: World energy technology and climate policy
framework scenario to 2030 (WETO, DG-RTD) with ENERDATA, FPB-Belgium,
IPTS
http://europa.eu.int/comm/research/energy/gp/gp_pu/article_1257_en.htm
• 2000-2002: Multi-gas assessment of greenhouse gas emission
reduction strategies (GECS, DG-RTD) with NTUA, RIVM, KUL,
IPTS
• 2000-2001: Economic assessment of climate negotiation
options, before and after COP-6 (Blueprints for International
Negotiation, DG-ENV)
http://europa.eu.int/comm/environment/climat/pdf/blueprints.pdf
• 1999-2001: ASPEN a software for the analysis of emission
quota trading systems with MAC curves from the POLES model
(Min. of Env.-F)
http://www.upmf-grenoble.fr/iepe/Recherche/Aspen.html
See the publications
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The POLES model (see slide show) shows
a model of the world power system and an analysis of the global environmental
restrictions, with three main headings:
1. Detailed prospects of the world energy system for each major territory
or region (currently 30), with a simulation of demand for each sector, new
and renewable energy technology, electrical systems, and hydrocarbon offers
and prices (see slide show).
2. Analysis of technical progress made by the energy
sector, with simulation of "technological breakthrough" scenarios
and incorporation of the effects of experience and training
on the new technology (see slide
show).
3. Analysis of the likely impact of heeding
the global environmental restrictions set out in the international
agreements on the limitation of greenhouse gases, together
with a calculation of the Marginal Reduction Costs for each
country and sector and use of the specialised ASPEN (Analysis
of Negotiable Emissions Permit Systems) software for the simulation
of "emission rights markets" (see
slide show).
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